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30-05-2018, 01:31 PM
(This post was last modified: 30-05-2018, 01:52 PM by Malong.)
(30-05-2018, 05:54 AM)Bobo Wrote: (Actually the chance to hit 1 number is 44% so it shouldn't happen, btw do I calculate correctly that the chance to hit 4 numbers is 1/220?).
(30-05-2018, 05:58 AM)Winter Wrote: With the same assumptions, your chance of hitting the correct number for at least one of the four slots would be 1/9*4 = 4/9 = 44.44%.
I assume you mean the chance to match at least one number, and that's just the complement of matching zero numbers (1 - 8^4/9^4), or ~37.57%
Voted Friendliest NordInvasion Player
Quote Board is on Discord (last updated 2025.02.02)
"When I feel bad, I read your quote board." - Corndog
Nka: You’re playing it smart, always [using] logic, and they get pissed.
Kaasovic: God, this guy is unbeatable. I feel defeated in every verbal argument we end up in. Good job, Sir.
Odi: Hasn’t [PCK beaten] the game at this point?
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Update:
So that everyone can be sure, that i cant scam you i will ask some impartial devs (maybe Kaasovic, Irish pm me if intrested), that they will keep the lucky numbers for thursday and saturday, which i will send them every monday. Also it would be nice if they would check my char from time to time if the money is still there.
If you want lower or higher win chances i can start a poll.
Also i thought maybe we need a starter pot to test the system, that means you only pay 10k in.
Ps: Sry for my english skills Alphaa.
Loots:
15.09.2017 Leviathan`s Treads
22.10.2017 Worm Bane
23.12.2017 Gothic Plate
22.04.2018 Defender Boots
20.05.2018 Dragon Halberd
02.09.2018 Defender Boots
07.12.2020 Imperial Halfplate - Blue
11.12.2020 Zephyr
14.02.2021 Studded Gauntlets
13.03.2021 Dragon Arrows
05.03.2022 Heavy Scaled Greaves
14.12.2023 Typhoon
18.05.2024 Gloves of Vidar
07.03.2024 Knight Helmet
Give me your stuff Blame!
Posts: 1,810
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(30-05-2018, 01:31 PM)Malong Wrote: (30-05-2018, 05:54 AM)Bobo Wrote: (Actually the chance to hit 1 number is 44% so it shouldn't happen, btw do I calculate correctly that the chance to hit 4 numbers is 1/220?).
(30-05-2018, 05:58 AM)Winter Wrote: With the same assumptions, your chance of hitting the correct number for at least one of the four slots would be 1/9*4 = 4/9 = 44.44%.
I assume you mean the chance to match at least one number, and that's just the complement of matching zero numbers (1 - 8^4/9^4), or ~37.57%
Ha, yeah, that one always gets me.
Posts: 2,032
Threads: 283
Joined: Jan 2012
(30-05-2018, 03:30 PM)Winter Wrote: (30-05-2018, 01:31 PM)Malong Wrote: (30-05-2018, 05:54 AM)Bobo Wrote: (Actually the chance to hit 1 number is 44% so it shouldn't happen, btw do I calculate correctly that the chance to hit 4 numbers is 1/220?).
(30-05-2018, 05:58 AM)Winter Wrote: With the same assumptions, your chance of hitting the correct number for at least one of the four slots would be 1/9*4 = 4/9 = 44.44%.
I assume you mean the chance to match at least one number, and that's just the complement of matching zero numbers (1 - 8^4/9^4), or ~37.57%
Ha, yeah, that one always gets me.
Just remember to take the mean of the scores and average it out.
Voted Friendliest NordInvasion Player
Quote Board is on Discord (last updated 2025.02.02)
"When I feel bad, I read your quote board." - Corndog
Nka: You’re playing it smart, always [using] logic, and they get pissed.
Kaasovic: God, this guy is unbeatable. I feel defeated in every verbal argument we end up in. Good job, Sir.
Odi: Hasn’t [PCK beaten] the game at this point?
Posts: 1,378
Threads: 166
Joined: Oct 2014
Any update on this project?
Posts: 114
Threads: 122
Joined: Jan 2015
Updates will come at saturay, because i am not at home.
Loots:
15.09.2017 Leviathan`s Treads
22.10.2017 Worm Bane
23.12.2017 Gothic Plate
22.04.2018 Defender Boots
20.05.2018 Dragon Halberd
02.09.2018 Defender Boots
07.12.2020 Imperial Halfplate - Blue
11.12.2020 Zephyr
14.02.2021 Studded Gauntlets
13.03.2021 Dragon Arrows
05.03.2022 Heavy Scaled Greaves
14.12.2023 Typhoon
18.05.2024 Gloves of Vidar
07.03.2024 Knight Helmet
Give me your stuff Blame!
Posts: 2,032
Threads: 283
Joined: Jan 2012
12-06-2018, 02:13 PM
(This post was last modified: 12-06-2018, 02:13 PM by Malong.)
(11-06-2018, 08:26 PM)Bobo Wrote: Any update on this project?
The update is the state should revoke your secondary school diploma for not being able to compute basic combinatorics. Boom.
Voted Friendliest NordInvasion Player
Quote Board is on Discord (last updated 2025.02.02)
"When I feel bad, I read your quote board." - Corndog
Nka: You’re playing it smart, always [using] logic, and they get pissed.
Kaasovic: God, this guy is unbeatable. I feel defeated in every verbal argument we end up in. Good job, Sir.
Odi: Hasn’t [PCK beaten] the game at this point?
Posts: 612
Threads: 195
Joined: Aug 2014
(12-06-2018, 02:13 PM)Malong Wrote: (11-06-2018, 08:26 PM)Bobo Wrote: Any update on this project?
The update is the state should revoke your secondary school diploma for not being able to compute basic combinatorics. Boom.
Low character imo.
Posts: 114
Threads: 122
Joined: Jan 2015
30-06-2018, 10:50 AM
(This post was last modified: 07-07-2018, 11:11 AM by Katarak.)
Updates
- Starter Pot added
- First Test Round (nobody pay something, its a test) will start at 07.07.2018
- Poll added
Loots:
15.09.2017 Leviathan`s Treads
22.10.2017 Worm Bane
23.12.2017 Gothic Plate
22.04.2018 Defender Boots
20.05.2018 Dragon Halberd
02.09.2018 Defender Boots
07.12.2020 Imperial Halfplate - Blue
11.12.2020 Zephyr
14.02.2021 Studded Gauntlets
13.03.2021 Dragon Arrows
05.03.2022 Heavy Scaled Greaves
14.12.2023 Typhoon
18.05.2024 Gloves of Vidar
07.03.2024 Knight Helmet
Give me your stuff Blame!
Posts: 114
Threads: 122
Joined: Jan 2015
Update
-Test round started (feels free to post your numbers)
Loots:
15.09.2017 Leviathan`s Treads
22.10.2017 Worm Bane
23.12.2017 Gothic Plate
22.04.2018 Defender Boots
20.05.2018 Dragon Halberd
02.09.2018 Defender Boots
07.12.2020 Imperial Halfplate - Blue
11.12.2020 Zephyr
14.02.2021 Studded Gauntlets
13.03.2021 Dragon Arrows
05.03.2022 Heavy Scaled Greaves
14.12.2023 Typhoon
18.05.2024 Gloves of Vidar
07.03.2024 Knight Helmet
Give me your stuff Blame!
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